My best guess is that Putin would test NATO by taking limited military action against a smaller NATO country.
Germany is still not supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine. Scholz apparently wants to avoid war with Russia at all cost.
>>>Though there are many voices in favor of delivering the Taurus, Scholz remains categorically opposed to delivering the weapon system. He argues that Germany runs the risk of being drawn into the war between Russia and Ukraine if the Taurus cruise missiles are used. "We must not be linked in any way or at any place with the targets that this system achieves," he said.<<<
Germany will not follow the United States in delivering long-range cruise missiles to Ukraine, Chancellor Olaf Scholz says. Officials fear that they could be used against targets within Russia.
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