T

trochetier

Full Audioholic
Trump has declared (Trade) war on all the traditional USA allies... from Canada and Mexico, to Europe and Australia.

At the same time he has declared peace with Russia - and is looking to cancel sanctions.

Next step a Russia - USA free trade agreement ?

Trump is clearly a Russian asset, beholden to Russia - this looks like a strategy cooked up in Moscow.

Even if/when Trump is dethroned - no one is going to trust the USA when it comes to critical alliances and treaties....

Trump is leading a regime change coup, a revolution.... and every revolution in history has had dire consequences for the nation involved and for most of its trading partners!

The constitutional nature of the Trump program has only seen marginal discussion - he is (implicitly) looking to create an absolutist / imperial constitutional/legislative structure.

Either he will succeed or there will be a massive backlash at the ground roots level, and that would result in potentially a rewrite of the US constitution in any case.....

The pendulum is swinging in ever wider arcs - with ever greater consequences, Trump has given it a massive push, and where it will all end up is anyone's guess. (But either way, Russia will be making hay while the sun shines)
Trump is implementing Project 25 and his personal grievances. Project 25 policies is for an Imperial (dictatorial) POTUS.
 
mtrycrafts

mtrycrafts

Seriously, I have no life.
It's really unfortunate that your country has an inadequate Constitution so does France's.
The problem is the ones in black robes interpret them any which way they want. One is doing it for his wealth. ;)
And so far, cannot be impeached.
 
M

Mr._Clark

Audioholic Samurai
It seems to me that part of the reason Trump is going off on tariffs is because he can. He is at least somewhat constrained (at least for now) by law when it comes to restructuring the federal government, but he has broad power to implement tariffs under the IEEPA.

He may believe that people want action and taking drastic action (even poorly conceived action) will play to his advantage politically, at least compared to more reasonable action.

The same dynamic could be at play in the foreign policy arena. He may believe that almost any action is better than no action.
 
j_garcia

j_garcia

Audioholic Jedi
He is basically grandstanding to try to bully countries into favorable deals, as if we were his company. That is going to backfire big time though.
 
D

dlaloum

Senior Audioholic
It's really unfortunate that your country has an inadequate Constitution so does France's.
Ultimately if the constitution is being subverted by a majority of the legislative, then it ends up failing.

This applies in all cases.

The legislature had the opportunity to support the constitution, and chose to support Trump instead....

The legalities are clear - but the legalities become meaningless in the absence of enforcement, particularly with a willful and intentional flouter of the laws.

France has been through a series of major constitutional reorganisations, and current is operating as the "5th Republic" - since the constitutional changes of 1958.

The USA avoided such wholesale changes, by using the constitutional amendments mechanism.

For the USA to survive as a republic, will almost certainly require either a 2nd Republic (in the French model) or some major constitutional amendments....
Looking at the French model - there have been periods of absolute monarchy between some of those 5 republics! - And Trump is very clearly aiming for an absolute dictatorship (whatever you call it.... recently he chose "King")...

It is worthy of note, that looking at other historical precedents, such changes have almost never been bloodless.... Trump has set the stage for revolution(s).
 
D

dlaloum

Senior Audioholic
To give in to his demands. Though I'm wondering if Trump thinks this will somehow bring down prices and/or create a better deal for Americans. Like how does the rest of the world deal with inflation and get prices down, or is it even possible after covid etc? That's a very gracious reading of his motives cause in the back of my mind he rather thrives on chaos, likes to escalate things on camera and might be the same with tariffs.
He doesn't care about anyone but himself....

His approach to the wider populace is Gaslighting.... black is white, up is down, a 3% drop in GDP is great progress and a win for everyone....

When enough of his glued on supporters, have suffered enough pain due to his policies to realise that they should be opposing him, things will start to shift.

How long can gaslighting work? That probably depends on how dire things get.

Great Depresssion, 1929 style, is far from out of the question.
 
mtrycrafts

mtrycrafts

Seriously, I have no life.
...... Trump has set the stage for revolution(s).
Need to watch the newer movie Revolution, I think from last year. Very scary from what the trailers show. :mad:

Correction, it is Civil War, 2024
 
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D

dlaloum

Senior Audioholic
The problem is the ones in black robes interpret them any which way they want. One is doing it for his wealth. ;)
And so far, cannot be impeached.
There are plenty of causes for impeachment... but no will to impeach in the legislature.

When the consequences are sufficiently dire even for the representatives, then that will change.

Will that be before or after the guillotines start to roll out?
 
mtrycrafts

mtrycrafts

Seriously, I have no life.
There are plenty of causes for impeachment... but no will to impeach in the legislature.

When the consequences are sufficiently dire even for the representatives, then that will change.

Will that be before or after the guillotines start to roll out?
Most likely afterwards, unfortunately. Time will tell if time marches on.
 
mtrycrafts

mtrycrafts

Seriously, I have no life.
It seems to me that part of the reason Trump is going off on tariffs is because he can. He is at least somewhat constrained (at least for now) by law when it comes to restructuring the federal government, but he has broad power to implement tariffs under the IEEPA.

He may believe that people want action and taking drastic action (even poorly conceived action) will play to his advantage politically, at least compared to more reasonable action.

The same dynamic could be at play in the foreign policy arena. He may believe that almost any action is better than no action.
Executive order today will eliminate the Department of Education. Can he do this since congress created it and funds it?
Another lawsuit up to supreme court? What happens in the meantime, 4000 will be dismissed.
 
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