Hillary Clinton gives Trump his well deserved comeuppance in her speech at DNC with the enthusiastic crowd shooting "Lock him up". This time Trump is a convicted felon waiting for his sentencing in September, unlike Mrs Clinton that was not charged of anything.
In terms of sentencing Trump, Judge Merchan is in an interesting (for lack of a better word) position:
>>>Mr. Trump, the first president to become a felon, faces up to four years in prison.
But legal experts believe it is more likely that Justice Merchan will sentence Mr. Trump to a few months in jail or probation.
Whatever his punishment, Mr. Trump is unlikely to be incarcerated before the election. Even if the judge hands down the sentence on Sept. 18, he could postpone any punishment until after Election Day, or, if Mr. Trump wins back the White House, until after his second term expires.<<<(emphasis added)
Justice Juan M. Merchan has tried to treat Donald J. Trump like the hundreds of other defendants whose fates he has decided. But his decision could alter American history.
www.nytimes.com
My best guess is that Trump will get probation, but that's just a guess.
In related news, Trump's efforts to move the case to federal court were promptly rejected by a federal court judge:
>>>NEW YORK (AP) — A federal judge on Tuesday swiftly rejected
Donald Trump’s request to intervene in his New York hush money criminal case, spurning the former president’s attempt at an end-run around the state court where he was convicted and is set to be sentenced in two weeks.
U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein’s ruling — just hours after Trump’s lawyers asked him to weigh the move — upends the Republican presidential nominee’s plan to move the case to federal court so that he could seek to have his conviction overturned in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court’s
presidential immunity ruling.<<<
A federal judge has rejected Donald Trump’s request to intervene in his New York hush money criminal case, thwarting the former president’s latest bid to overturn his felony conviction and delay his sentencing.
apnews.com
It's conceivable that judge Merchan will still rule in Trump's favor on the immunity issue. I don't expect him to do so, but it's not a trivial issue.