Funny thing is majority of the box office is international where the studios don't earn that much (25-40% depending on country). Especially from China (25%). It's just going to hit $300m here in the states. Avatar 2 domestic was $688m. Are people rushing back to see it 2-3 more times like they did with Avatar 2 and Avatar? I don't think it's happening as much with this 3rd one. I think majority saw it and will wait until it drops on Disney+ or comes out on physical media/streaming. With the budget of this movie hitting $400m+ another $100m+ in marketing. This movie would need to pull in around $1.5-$1.7b just to break even. Cameron says he would like to do two more. Cameron said, if a 4th one gets made it will be 5 years from now. What if those movies cost more than $400m each? That's a ton of money to be put down for one movie with the hopes they make close to $2B to try and earn everything back and possibly make a small profit. Decisions, decisions....
Zootopia 2 is earning over 70% of its box office internationally. Mostly China. Movie studios get around 25% of box office from China's market. Currently, Zootopia 2 has hit $1.13B internationally while only hitting roughly $350m here domestic. I don't think $350m is anything to scoff at, but is that good or bad for a Pixar movie? The previous Pixar movie Inside Out 2 grossed roughly $650m domestically. Incredibles 2 grossed $608m and Finding Dory even grossed $486m domestically. I won't count Zootopia 2 out just yet. It might have some staying power and hit over Finder Dory's domestic numbers. We shall see.