This is a really interesting article about what is going on in Russia and the Russian military. I'm not sure how reliable Soldatov and his sources are, but he seems to have better insight than most.
Unfortunately, according to him, most Russians support the war and the military is by and large okay with a long war because they view it as inevitable.
One aspect of this that is unsettling is that the Russian military actually seems to think they would have a better chance against NATO than against a Ukraine that is equipped with NATO weapons. It may be true that Russia has a higher tolerance for casualties, but this line of thinking strikes me as being absurd (Chime cuckoo for cocoa puffs meme).
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>Does this suggest that Putin has simply blamed the intelligence agencies for the war’s problems? Or is it that he has no option now, other than to turn even more to the military?
That’s the problem. He’s actually out of options. He’s quite limited. He got himself in a big war, and right now the military is finally quite convinced that they are fighting a really big war, not just some limited conflict. So what’s he going to do? He needs to vow to keep going in Ukraine. And he understands that he’s fighting a conventional army, not some group of Nazis. And the military thinking is that in this big war, the Russian Army is on the losing end, because the Ukrainian Army is a completely mobilized army that actually claims it can call on hundreds of thousands more in reserves. The Russian Army is still largely a peacetime army.
At the same time, the Ukrainian Army is given the best weaponry that the West can provide. And this weaponry is tested against the Russians and the Russians are not in position to inflict any damage on
NATO. They’re suffering heavy losses from the weaponry supplied by
NATO countries.
For many years, the Russian military believed that they had a chance to win a conflict with the West, not because they have better technology—they knew that the West always would have better technology—but because the West, and specifically the United States, would never sustain heavy casualties like the Russian Army can sustain, because, to the leadership, the cost of life is different. But in this war, in Ukraine, all the casualties are not by
NATO or by the American Army but by the Ukrainian Army. So even this cannot be played by the Russian Army. And that is why they think that they picked up a fight with
NATO in the wrong place.<<<
As his invasion enters its fourth month, the Russian leader is preparing for the long haul. Meanwhile, the military is chattering about its losses, and putting out calls for supplies on Telegram.
www.newyorker.com