Here's a twist to the MOU but this hasn't been verified.... I also like Trita as well, very well balanced.
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There is lots of history discussed here about the various relationships Israel had with Iran, Turkey, and Egypt. At the 17 minute mark, Trita says exactly the thing I have learned from this and other analysts I have watched andf repeated here countless times. Israel wants to become the dominant power in the region and changes the narrative tp give them a plausible reason to attack them. Iran can wipe the floor with Israel but it chooses not do and negotiate. However, if history is an indicator, the Turks are different story. The turks will wipe the floor with Israel if Israel is that dumb to wage war against them.
The picture in the middle east is changing and changing fast.
This reads less like analysis and more like another attempt to excuse every actor hostile to Israel, including past takes that come dangerously close to cheering on Hamas and Hezbollah. You can criticize Israel without romanticizing terrorist proxies or pretending Iran’s regime is some restrained negotiating partner. The Islamic Republic is a brutal, murderous regime that has spent decades exporting terror, crushing its own people, and hiding behind proxies. “Iran/Turkey will wipe the floor with Israel” is not strategy; it’s fan fiction.
War isn’t a bar fight. Its capabilities, alliances, geography, escalation risk, and consequences.
And while you’re romanticizing Iran as some restrained regional actor, people like Masih Alinejad are living proof of what that regime actually is. She survived the Islamic Republic, escaped to the West, and still had Iranian-backed operatives allegedly trying to kidnap or murder her on American soil. That’s not “restraint.” That’s transnational terrorism.
So spare me the “Iran just wants peace” routine. The same regime that funds and enables proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah also hunts women, journalists, dissidents, and human-rights activists for the crime of telling the truth.
If your analysis keeps finding excuses for that regime, maybe it isn’t analysis.