Yeah, you are only out by 20%. Probably good to go in the schools you went to. Not mine.
(AC x 1.414 = DC) x supply/amplifier efficiency. There is no need to guess at the combined efficiency, you can get it from the values provided. It's not 65%.
Well I had a good look at the service manual yesterday.
The manual does admit to only partial protection. The protection is 7.5 amp fast bow fuses in the speaker outputs. Even partial I think is optimistic for that.
Anyhow 7.5 amps would deliver 225 watts into a resistive four ohm load. Probably less into most speaker loads. In addition I bet there is margin, so I doubt the amp produces more than 200 watts into a four ohm load.
The other thing I found interesting is that on the circuit diagram it specifies the load output impedance to be 5 to 8 ohms. This is at variance with the user manual. I have no explanation for this.
Now his W15 SEAS Excel drivers are actually only 6 ohm from the tuning peak to the impedance rise at 600 Hz, according to the published curve by SEAS.
So if you parallel two of those drivers it gives you three ohms in the peak power region.
However I did do a model in a tuned box, which is basically what a mass loaded TL is, although with some bass extension. I used SEAS T/S data. On the model the impedance was just a little below 4 ohms in that region.
However it would be good to actually have a measured curve, of his speakers. SEAS data is usually brutally honest.
It is certainly possible all this has something to do with that amp failure.
I have to say I was less than impressed with that amp. I do believe that speakers of the quality of SWERD's deserve better, and would almost certainly produce better sound with a better amp.
I would take this opportunity to put it out to pasture personally.