The13thGryphon said:
The earliest claim for the round shape of the Earth known to me came from Pythagoras, who lived in approximately 560 BC to 475 BC. It was reported that Pythagoras reasoned from the perpetual round shape of lunar eclipses that the Earth could neither be flat nor cylindrical, but only spherical. Please refer to John Burnet's Greek Philosophy Part 1: Thales to Plato. (London: MacMillan, 1914), P.44. Similar views can be found in Aristotle's opus.
Pythagoras's observation is precisely what I referred to when I stated: "The Earth was known to be round, thousands of years ago, by the best objective observers."
500 B.C. was well over two-thousands years ago[which qualifies as "thousands of years"].
Note that I did not state popular opinion, but "
by the best objective observers".
Certainly by the middle ages the general consensus was that of a spherical earth -- but that's not "thousands" of years ago. I guess you can quibble with my use of the term "a few hundred years ago" as well. It was indeed a little longer than that, but still a valid comparison in my mind as it was, at one time in history, the predominant belief.
Personally, I am not interested in general consensus, unless it was produced by carefully weighed/analyzed data. General consensus does not mean anything in itself.
All I am trying to point out is that there have been many times throughout history -- both long ago and quite recently -- when the commonly held, and scientifically supported or substantiated beliefs have later pr oven to be inaccurate.
Go back and read what I typed. Science is tentative, and it must be based on the available knowledge. Using science, one can not conclude something to be of high probability, if it has not been observed properly. Also, realize that some scientists are not good at their job, just as at any job you will find examples of people that have the position, but are rather poor at executing such.
I am not saying that science is "bunk", or that it should entirely be ignored. However, I am saying that it too should be carefully scrutinized, as scientific analysis and methodology are -- to this very day -- flawed mechanisms for drawing conclusions.
How flawed of a mechanism is science? In what specific ways?
Please respect my request made in the last post if you wish to continue down the current road. I will post it again, in case you missed it:
If you think science is not sufficient, please provide an example of another methodology that is superior, or even equal, in its discovery efficiency.
From what I gather of your posts to this point, you believe science to be flawed because it can not predict data that does not exist. Of course it can not do this, science is not fortune-telling. Or, do you call it flawed because some people practice bad science[which is not really science]? You mention careful scrutinizing and analysis. But anything that has not conformed to this, is not good science, by definition. Good science includes these very things, inherantly.
-Chris