I'll break this down in an article a little later, but essentially what you can look forward to is this:
- the eventual release of all HD DVD movies in Blu-ray
- the near-immediate cessation of HD DVD releases (anything that hasn't already began will likely be moved to Blu-ray)
- the same fading into obscurity for HD DVD that laserdisc and Betamax had... only faster
With that said, I don't believe consumer adoption will take off like a rocket in the way that some analysts are predicting. First off, the player prices are still too high (need to be around $199 for entry-level). Second, we're going to hear a lot more flack from the whole multi-profile issue until 2.0 (BD-Live) becomes available in all players.
Christmas 2008 will be a very big indicator. In my opinion, cable and satellite have until around October to get their act together if they want HD downloads to compete head-to-head. Let's see if they are as clueless as they seem to be, lol.