I only used-15 as a reference, as in his video he said once everything was calibrated properly the avr sees 0 as reference level. So -15 would essentially be 15db below reference level.
I am back in front of my PC now, so I can elaborate on the method based on volume -15, to estimate your power requirements.
To be clear, the right way is to do it based on your desired SPL, distance, and speaker sensitivity, but it just happens that ASR has reviewed and measured the RZ50, so there is enough information for us to estimate power requirement based on volume set to -15.
First of all, let's review the available information, from that review:
1) ASR usually (I assume unless otherwise stated, but I could be wrong on that...) use 0 dBFS when digital input such as HDMI is used.
As Amir notes:
Article: Understanding Digital Audio Measurements | Audio Science Review (ASR) Forum
The “level” or amplitude of the signal has a funny scale: dBFS. This stands for decibels (dB) from Full Scale. In digital domain, there is no concept of voltages. Everything is just a number. So we rely on a relative, logarithmic scale. 0 dBFS is full amplitude within the format we have set (24-bit PCM). Since this is a dB scale, every reduction of the dBFS by 6 dB represents halving the analog output voltage of the DAC.
2) Now take a look of the following graph from the review:
Onkyo TX-RZ50 Review (Home Theater AVR) | Audio Science Review (ASR) Forum
See that it is for HDMI input, volume is 62.5, pure direct mode.
So here you can see the Onkyo RZ50, at 62.5 volume, the output is about 5.3 W
According to Onkyo, 82, in the absolute scale, is 0, in the relative scale.
Since 62.5 is 19.5 below 82, it is therefore -19.5 in the relative scale.
That means from the above information, we know the RZ50 would output about 5.33 W (the average of the left and right channels), from the graph below.
Now we know at -19.5 volume, it outputs 5.33 W, then by calculation:
-15, is 4.5 dB higher, using the formula (in the linked page) to convert P2/P1 in dB to P2/P1 in multiples:
dB chart voltage power table conversion sound pressure sound intensity decibel voltage level levels ratio dbu dBA dBm absolute relative acoustic measurement volts watts and pascals database - sengpielaudio Sengpiel Berlin
P2/P1 = 10^(4.5/10) =2.818 in multiples
5.33X2.818 = about 15 W.
Note that Amir's graph is for the 4 ohm load measured results, so for 8 ohms the output would be 7.5 W, that matches up very well with my quick and dirty and rough estimate in my earlier post.
To summarize, if you use the online spl calculator, that is the right way because it is based on actual SPL at your MMP that you target for, and in that case, the results would be as follow:
91.2 dB, one speaker, at 3 meters, assuming no room gain,
94.2 dB, one speaker, at 3 meters, assuming 3 dB room gain.
You probably will get more than 3 dB room gain, but since room gain is mainly from the bass so my suggestion is, don't count on getting more than 3 dB room gain, in order to be on the conservative side.
Still the Onkyo can comfortably output more than 60 W, or much more, into 4 ohms continuously, so for real world movie contents, it should have no trouble driving your 4 ohms (with dips to 2.5 ohms) speakers with ease, if your desired SPL at MMP is 95 dB or even 100 dB, and/or with you volume at -15, or even -10.
Onkyo TX-RZ50 Review (Home Theater AVR) | Audio Science Review (ASR) Forum