woodman said:
1. With the advent of digital TV in general, and of "HighDefinitionTV" in particular, the complexity of the sets have virtually exploded exponentially. Along with this complexity, the possibilities for service problems increases right along with it.
2. At the very same time, economic pressures on the mfgs. keep pushing them to add more and more features, capabilities, etc. and at the same time reduce the pricing - forcing cost-cutting to be the "name of the game". So, even though the public (mistakenly) applauds the price reductions, it's not really in their best interests at all...........................Hear me now, and believe me later
I agree with your position regarding the complexity of HD TV's.
But....
I may be a typical hobbiest, but my background is also quite different. My family's company sells industrial equipment that include digital controllers. How would you like to spend 20% of your companies manufacturing equipment cost on one piece of equipment and have the sucker fail the day after the manufacturer's warranty has expired? That is an issue that I face each and every day, and we do not sell extended warranties. Our manufacturers face the same competitive issues, cutting corners, adding unproven components, poor QC, poor tech support etc.
Regarding digital equipment...
Experience has shown that MOST catastrophic failures come relatively quickly. The DOA item is the most common problem. DOA (dead on arrival or very shortly thereafter) can be a big problem. The next most common problem is the first units manufactured after the dreaded design change... I hate those. Poor QC shows up next, usually a loose wire, or flux on a circuit board, and those failures are usually quite quick, but can take several months to flair up.
Once you get past the early failures, long term failures usually are one of two types of failure.... a single chip or circuit fails, or there is a monster catastrophic failure, and those failures can be years or decades after being installed. And heat, moisture, dust and movement are the usual sources of problems. Repairs can be costly. But these days, we just swap out circuit boards for a nominal fee.
Every car I have owned has had the extended warranty. Heat, moisture, dust and movement are the enemy of the components in a car. Spending $672 (acutal cost) for an 5 year extended warranty on a $34,000 car can make sense, especially for somebody like me that drives the car until it drops dead in its tracks.
We have extended warranties on every computer in the business. Computers are critical to the business, and we are very abusive (dusty). The cost of the extended warranty is less than the cost of a single repair visit, and most computers have been repaired at least once, and most twice outside of the warranty period.
$600 for an extended warranty on a $4k TV?
Not in my book. If you get past the DOA problems, bulb failure is the only major cost to expect during the next few years.