DVDs will be obsolete in 10 years Says Bill Gates

[fluffydepancake]

Bandwidth VS HD

High Definition and Bandwidth are definately a problem at the moment. I, in developing websites have managed to blow my own bandwidth limits from my ISP. At the current time I feel that yes, On demand downloads of movies and Audio will get to be very hefty on bandwidth limits. (Mine is currently 3GB's upload/download from my ISP)

THAT SAID I do believe (I could be wrong with the company) it is intel that is making a wide range area network that will be wireless. We are talking over an entire city, that combined with the way compression and storage/speed sizes are going I wouldnt be surprised to see Bills "Visions" come true. However in Bills true style you can espect this 5-7 years late.

Never ever forget how windows "Chicago" became "Windows 95"

 

[Jedi2016]

The problem is that current digital television, especially HD feeds, are of rather poor quality. The bandwidth simply isn't there, to carry video at a level with no visible compression. I can watch something on my normal 27" TV and I can see compression artifacts. Sorry, Bill, but if that's what you're talking about, you can frikkin' keep it.

Maybe things will change, but I'm just basing that on what I've seen. Any online-distributed video, whether it's to TV or PC, pales in comparison to the same thing on disc.

That, and as long as we're using disc-based formats for storage (which probably isn't going away in the next twenty years or so), we'll be able to watch our "obsolete" DVDs, as all whatever-format players will still be able to read them.

 

[j_garcia]

WINDOWS will be obsolte in 10 years Mr Gates....

 

[Rock&Roll Ninja]

Yeah, I remember watching TV commercials 10 years ago promising movies, sports, & TV shows when I want, whenever I want. They also said cable would be amde from fiber-optic lines too......

Guess I'll get it around the same time as I buy a flying motorcycle.

 

[j_garcia]

Many cable companies are switching to fiber optic. The complex I live in has an optical network for DSL, but cable is still good ol' coax (digital).

With TiVo, you CAN watch anything, anytime.

I don't think we will be folding up our cars into a briefcase anytime soon though.

 

[no man]

me, i cant wait til all discs are gone/obsolete. there are too many formats for one's fragile mind to comprehend, i speak for all those less fortunate. i think windows'll be around for a looonnnggg while, they arnt gonna crash n burn for a while, i can't wait til sony crashes n burns, microsoft will thrive and the sony dude'ss be saying "where the hell did we **** up?! do you think the introduction of the 1000" tv was a good idea? i think it was"

im hoping for one format for new forms of storage, whatever they may be, flash memory, hard drives, babylon 5?...that would be awesome

ive got a solution to the bandwith crisis, create a nuclear powerplant and feed all its power to massive wireless amplifyer (powerful enough to encompass the whole world and the moon- just for the hell of it) and broadcast all the crap worldwide. call it "Area 67". then create a second massice broadcast thing incase one fails for an unexpected reason.

im the greatest of the all~!!

 

[Tomorrow]

Applications of quantum physics, string theory, mass/energy compression, etc. will render Gates feeble mind for what it is....an ordinary, ripoff marketeer. Sci-fi isn't so fi anymore. Even the ordinary battery may finally become a thing of the past...a HUGE development. Ten years up the road look for great and unpredictable leaps in telecommunications as modern theoretical physics becomes more and more applied to our daily lives. That is.....if we don't blow ourselves off the planet first...or have enough people left to care after the next pandemic....

Where is my valium?

 

[BMXTRIX]

While a nice concept for some, it is not likely going to be true for all the hurdles that must be dealt with.

1. Bandwidth - No question that the bandwidth used every year has increased and the requirements for what is being asked is at a near unrealistic level. Potential? Perhaps - but why?

2. Portability - Many people need 100% access on a regular basis from multiple locations. Yes, that's why there are laptops, and I have one. But, I need all my files with me, and I don't always have access to the Internet to get those files.

3. Security - If my files are out in the ether, then there is no doubt that some pimply faced 13 year old kid is going to get everything I own and turn it into nudie pics. Period. Add to that government offices where wireless is still strictly prohibited in any form. No pages, no cel phones, and you better believe - NO WI-FI! People lose their laptop for a month over things like that.

4. Storage - Where do I put my digital photos? Where do I put my music? Where do I put my videos? Where? Somebody has to store stuff somewhere. It won't all be 100% digitally stored in RAM. It's gotta go onto discs somewhere, so why their servers and hard drives instead of mine? Hello!?! A 400GB hard drive is selling for under 300 bucks! My old 4 GB hard drive cost me that much a few years ago.

It seems like a reinvention of the wheel for something that consumers really do NOT want. Like SACD and DVD-A. It may be an improvement, but there is no demand. People, I believe, are really happy with the way things work right now. Yes, a bit more durability would be nice, but that's about it. They like portability, they like control, they like access, and if there isn't a lot to be gained by changing everything, then what is the point in changing everything? I want what we have now, but improved. Same type of video, except HD - my projector is ready for it. Same type of audio, but improved! Better CODECs, more storage space for less money in flash type media. More space on hard drives, with faster speed, for less money. More wireless content, that I can download and use as I wish, for less money. Better wireless with better reliability and faster speed.

Yeah, Mr. Bill is quite a dreamer, but is off his rocker on this one.

 

[no man]

While a nice concept for some, it is not likely going to be true for all the hurdles that must be dealt with.

1. Bandwidth - No question that the bandwidth used every year has increased and the requirements for what is being asked is at a near unrealistic level. Potential? Perhaps - but why?

2. Portability - Many people need 100% access on a regular basis from multiple locations. Yes, that's why there are laptops, and I have one. But, I need all my files with me, and I don't always have access to the Internet to get those files.

3. Security - If my files are out in the ether, then there is no doubt that some pimply faced 13 year old kid is going to get everything I own and turn it into nudie pics. Period. Add to that government offices where wireless is still strictly prohibited in any form. No pages, no cel phones, and you better believe - NO WI-FI! People lose their laptop for a month over things like that.

4. Storage - Where do I put my digital photos? Where do I put my music? Where do I put my videos? Where? Somebody has to store stuff somewhere. It won't all be 100% digitally stored in RAM. It's gotta go onto discs somewhere, so why their servers and hard drives instead of mine? Hello!?! A 400GB hard drive is selling for under 300 bucks! My old 4 GB hard drive cost me that much a few years ago.

It seems like a reinvention of the wheel for something that consumers really do NOT want. Like SACD and DVD-A. It may be an improvement, but there is no demand. People, I believe, are really happy with the way things work right now. Yes, a bit more durability would be nice, but that's about it. They like portability, they like control, they like access, and if there isn't a lot to be gained by changing everything, then what is the point in changing everything? I want what we have now, but improved. Same type of video, except HD - my projector is ready for it. Same type of audio, but improved! Better CODECs, more storage space for less money in flash type media. More space on hard drives, with faster speed, for less money. More wireless content, that I can download and use as I wish, for less money. Better wireless with better reliability and faster speed.

Yeah, Mr. Bill is quite a dreamer, but is off his rocker on this one.

i'm not so sure, at the rate new technologies are sprouting up, i wouldnt doubt it, 'cept it may take more than 10 years for all that to happen, but in 10 years i belive dvds'll be dead, by then bluray may be dominant or obsolete