Yes, I think 30GB is enough, I'm not sure if the bandwidth is enough. I'm also not sure how much it will be embraced by the computing industry.
The PS3 thing is a wait and see. I definitely disagree with you. I know no less than 5 people who used a PS3 as their DVD player when they got it. It was the first DVD player they owned and all of them now own stand alone players. DVD had been out for several years before the PS2.
Blu-Ray will have been out for a few months. I know it will be MY first player for HD discs. Eventually I will own whoever wins, but I know that my first discs to own and first rentals will be Blu-Ray. While, in the end, this may not force the outcome to go the way of Blu-Ray disc, I do believe that the PS3 will do for Blu-Ray disc what has never been done before. Am I right? Well now, we won't know until next year, and X-Box may have HD-DVD in their units by then. But, at a loss of all their initial units of sale.
Meh, I'm not a fortune teller, just giving my opinion. I have occassionally made calls that are correct - but am just as often wrong.