I guess most of you can see the difference between a DVD9 movie and a 4.3Gb copy. The artifacts jump at us in subtle color gradations, dark scenes, faces and fast panning complex scenes.
For me, picture quality is easier to perceive than audio quality. I get satisfied with 320Kbps mp3, maybe because my audio equipment does not let me discern more, but i tend to zoom in on any compression/transcoding artifact, even on my lowly big bottom 32" CRT TV.
I'm sure many of you have seen (or know about) the illegal movie and music copies that are made today. With DVDs it started with full movies ripped and converted to one 650GB CD. Then, with the advance in public networks the movies started to fill two CDs. Today, it's common to find DVD9s converted to a 4.3GB DVD5 and even full DVD9 copies.
The latest craze is downloading 1080p movies. The most common rips I see people craving for are the 4.3GB rips, enough to fill one DVD5. And they are happy because they got a HD movie. They seem to forget, or don't care, that their copies are "plagued" with very strong compression levels. They don't even have a full HD TV.
I believe the majority of the population does not care about audio or video quality. The average joe certainly does not give a damn. Even the "internet and mp3 generation" does not seem to care much. What they want is just immediate access to "their" media. I believe this is what drives many of the downloaders, immediate access to a movie/album.
This is why I don't pay any attention to VOD, I don't expect it to reach Blu-ray disc quality soon. Why should it? It can even get to 1080 lines, but at very strong compression levels, the average joe will not complain (most will have a 720p lcd). But it's HD and it must be good, right?
This whole HD evolution started all wrong, it seems so atypical from a consumer electronics perspective. The HD TVs are here before the tv stations have anything to broadcast. There are two types of HD TVs (720 and 1080), the first sets where not HDCP complyant. There were two domestic formats (HD-DVD and Blu-ray). The HD disc format war was just a bribing game. There's also the player region and profiles. The disc and the player prices are high. What a mess.
I think that for the first time in the consumer entertainment history, the industry is ahead of the market needs. But the industry will succeed in pushing their products down our throats
The prices will start dropping and everyone will jump aboard. With all the players rowing in the same direction it will be easy to convince joe that he really needs HD, even if it's just because his neighbor has it
I believe there's nothing to worry about. Blu-ray will last. Bose succeeded and it's just one company. Blu-ray is backed by the whole industry