My opinion on the HD/Blu-Ray DVD is that I'm filing this technology in the same category as OGG, AAC or any other audio codec that in competition with MP3 for mass consumer use.
Sure, technologically these formats will yield better compression and about 15-20% higher quality music, but will the quality ALONE be enough for consumers to convert/switch over to these new formats?
Like the article said, DVD was light-years beyond VHS and Laserdisc. Chapter Selection, Menu Navigation, Multiple Language Tracks, Multiple Angles, etc., etc.
What does HD-DVD offer over DVD? High Definition Audio and Video (I'm sure there might be some other technical enhancements, but for consumers this is it).
So does this quality enhancement alone necessitate the upgrade from DVD to HD-DVD? I don't think so. My best estimate is that DVD and HD-DVD will live side by side as VHS and Laserdisc did. VHS being implemented by 90% of consumers and dominating the video market, and Laserdisc owned by a minority looking for the best quality sound a picture that money can buy.
Of course, that's just my $0.02
