Short of abuse, initial damage from shipping or poor manufacturing qc, the failure rate of audio equipment is relative to the moving parts on the unit, or dust/debris accumulating on sensitive parts.
I would suspect electrostatic speakers, and all of their cousins, would suffer from the highest failure rate.
Speakers with cones that have a large excursion distance, such as a woofer or large midrange, would be the next least reliable.
That said, some materials are more prone to dry rot. Which of those materials is superior to the other, I have no clue.
In addition, many years ago, I was told that most automotive speaker manufacturers designed their speakers for the ambient conditions within a car (heat, humidity, sunlight). I would assume those same conditions would play a role in the life expectancy of a home speaker, and may actually play a bigger role than the excursion distance or speaker design.