They are advertising like crazy in Home Theater magazine... Up to this point I believe that Toshiba has been a joke in retail stores though. Unlike the X-Box 360 approach that had a ton of buzz and excellent kiosk displays everywhere, it is still tough to find where the HD-DVD display even IS in your local Best Buy.
Joe Six Pack (J6P) will have a Blu-ray player this year. If nothing else, PS3 will put the words Blu-ray Disc into millions of homes while HD-DVD is still trying to figure out what a kiosk is.
No, really, I love the image of HD-DVD, but I just don't think that they have the marketing in place and enough industry support overall to trump Blu-ray. But, that's right now - things could always change.