those who don't learn from the past are doomed to repeat it
my money's on HD-DVD. for no reason other than marketing.
i think sony has some genius development people but their marketing people are retarded. it's been said before and i'll say it again, people are generally stupid. if i know i have an hd tv and i want a dvd player that will perform better than my progressive scan dvd player i must need an HD-DVD player. "what's this? Blu-ray? what difference does the color of laser have to do with anything?" go to your neighbors house i bet he has a progressive scan dvd player, i bet in 80% of the cases the progressive scan hasn't even be enabled. consumers are led around their local electronics/big box store by commission scavenging snot nosed punks and HD-DVD is just an easier sell because it has the right acronym, people are stupid.
sony i think will ultimately lose out because they won't share the rights to blue ray. Beta was better than VHS, beta lost 'cause sony was greedy. 15 years ago minidisc was poised to take over the world but sony again was greedy and it faded into obscurity (small resurgence recently but minimal), blu-ray i'm afraid will be next.
people on this board are very knowledgeable (almost to a fault) about A/V gear and electronics in general, but i hate to break it to you, you're in the minority. neither format has really endeared itself to the general public, but blu-ray even less so. do i think a dual format player is a good idea? absolutely. will i buy one? hell no, my money is too hard to come by. for my money i'll stick with an upscaling dvd watching fake hd-dvd and when the wad of money left in my pocket makes it uncomfortable to sit maybe then i'll buy an HD-DVD.
I guess i won't be winning the free hd dvd upgrade huh?